Choose another classmate’s post. Change the confidence level to
90% or 99%. What happened to the confidence interval? Did the interval
get larger or smaller? Explain the change. See Example.
Opinions about stricter gun laws were surveyed nationally during the
timeframe of October 1-10, 2018. These survey results can be found at:
http://www.pollingreport.com/guns.htm
The question posed was “In general, do you feel that the laws covering
the sale of firearms should be made “more strict”, “less strict”, or
“kept as they are now”??”
The sample size, n = 1,019 adults nationwide. The margin of error is ±4
61% were in favor of “more strict” laws covering the sale of firearms
8% were in favor of “less strict” laws covering the sale of firearms
30% were in favor of “laws kept as they are now” covering the sale of
firearms
The confidence interval for each result is found by adding/subtracting
the MoE from the results.
More Strict: (61 – 4%, 61 + 4%) = (57% - 65%)
4 & 5. Using the Excel template, I will enter the following
variable:
Sample Size = 1,019
Proportion of sample = 61%
Confidence level = 95%
Confidence interval is (0.5801 – 0.6399) or (58.01% - 63.99%) Rounded
this is 58% - 64%.
6. Gun laws have been an important topic in our country for some time
but have surfaced more in this past year than I can remember in my
lifetime. The bias alone will affect the results of these types of
questions affecting this survey. The selection bias of candidates to
participate in this survey will vary such as if a parent has a child
that is in the military compared to a parent with a small child where a
school shooting may have happened will bias their answers. If the
sampling was from college students, this could be biased toward the
history of shootings occurring on university campuses. A sampling error
of 4% may also be present representing a margin of error for the survey
results. This survey shows it was a Gallup poll, which is an assessment
of public opinion; however, another survey question listed on this site
also shows that the organization that sponsored that survey could have
been a college university (Quinnipac) which is located in Hamden,
Connecticut. If the sponsoring organization was a college university,
this could present a bias towards the results. These are just
considerations to take under advisement when reviewing the results of
RESEARCHED AND SOLVED BY OUR WRITING TEAM
RESEARCHED AND SOLVED BY OUR WRITING TEAM
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